Colorado State University climatologists are predicting a lower than average Atlantic hurricane season, with three hurricanes and seven named storms in 2015. They predict one of those three will be a major hurricane – a category 3 or higher.
In a forecast released Thursday (April 9) Climatologists Philip Klotzbach and Bill Gray said the combination of a moderate-strength El Nino and a relatively cool tropical Atlantic would keep hurricane activity low.
According to their forecast, the Colorado State University climatologists’ 2015 predictions are below average compared to a 29-year period between 1981 and 2010.
Hurricane seasons in those years averaged 6 ½ hurricanes, two major hurricanes and 12 named storms.
The 2015 forecast follows a relatively quiet 2014 Atlantic hurricane season that saw only six hurricanes – two of them major – and eight named storms.
It was the second consecutive quiet year for the New Orleans area since 2012, when Hurricane Isaac flooded hundreds of homes across parts of the area.
Hurricane season begins June 1 and ends Nov. 30.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is expected to release its 2015 hurricane predictions in May.